Fundamental analysis

Technical Analysis of BTC/USD for October 28, 2022

Crypto Industry News:

In a recent blog post, Arthur Hayes, known from BitMEX, wrote that Hong Kong is the key to cryptocurrency success.

According to media reports, the Hong Kong regulator plans to approve retail investors’ direct investment in cryptocurrencies. Additionally, the institution will reconsider the regulation of digital asset trading.

“Hong Kong’s friendly reorientation towards cryptocurrencies heralds China’s return to cryptocurrency capital markets.”

Says Hayes now.

In his opinion, as soon as the Chinese turn to cryptocurrencies again, “the boom will return.” “It will be a slow process,” he added. Hayes also believes that a sharp and sudden depreciation of the Yuan, similar to the one in 2015, could lead to the start of another cryptocurrency bubble. It’s worth noting that this is not the first time a former BitMEX director has said something like this.

He added that although the Chinese did not engage heavily in the market, they did not leave it. The current global geopolitical situation will eventually force them to do something about the dollars they earn each month from their exports. Hong Kong’s reorientation as a pro-cryptocurrency center in the region, according to Hayes, is part of Beijing’s broad strategy. So Hong Kong would become a cryptocurrency window to the world of the Middle Kingdom?

Technical Market Outlook:

The BTC/USD pair has come back down from the high of $21,017 to the demand zone located between the levels of $20,221 – $20,580 and is testing the lower level of this zone. The last 9% strong up move has forced the momentum indicator to hit the extremely overbought conditions on the H4 time frame chart, so a pull-back towards the intraday technical support seen at $20,21 is taking place. Nevertheless, the next target for bulls is seen at the level of $22,410 and if the momentum would have stayed on the elevated levels, this target could be hit even by the end of this week.

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Weekly Pivot Points:

WR3 – $20,025

WR2 – $19,682

WR1 – $19,461

Weekly Pivot – $19,340

WS1 – $19,119

WS2 – $18,997

WS3 – $18,655

Trading Outlook:

The down trend on the H4, Daily and Weekly time frames continues without any indication of a possible trend termination or reversal. So far every bounce and attempt to rally is being used to sell Bitcoin for a better price by the market participants, so the bearish pressure is still high. The key long term technical support at the psychological level of $20,000 had been violated, the new swing low was made at $17,600 and if this level is violated, then the next long-term target for bulls is seen at $13,712. On the other hand, the gamechanging level for bulls is located at $25,367 and it must be clearly violated for a valid breakout in the long term.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com


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